mardi 28 juin 2016

Life After Brexit: What Happens Now?

If you’ve returned from Glastonbury (or just decided to come out of hiding) and been forced to actually face the aftermath of the results of the EU referendum, we’re breaking down what’s going on — with all the resignations, back tracking and speeches you’ve got tiny updates about all weekend.

The Result Stats

Obviously, as we all know, we (well, not all of us) voted to leave the European Union and the stats are pretty depressing. Though the Leave to Remain discrepancy was only 48.1% to 51.9%, there were 1,269,501 votes in it. In a nutshell, the older the voter, the more likely they are to have voted leave. Though it’s easy to just feel venomous to those who voted Leave, it shouldn’t got without mention that a pitifully small amount — only 36% of 18-25s — of young people got out to vote which, as they were more likely to vote remain, undeniably had an effect on the overall results.

Who Will Be The New PM?

We knew it was going to happen if by some horrible chance Leave pipped Remain to the post, but David Cameron’s announcement on Friday that he’ll resign by October has left English politics in a scary hash.

George Osbourne has bowed out of the new PM and Tory leadership race, leaving the favourites as Boris Johnson and Theresa May with 24% and 31% prospectively. The Chancellor, who fought for the Remain campaign, said: ‘It is clear I am not the person to provide the unity my party needs.’ The Home Secretary chose to keep relatively clear of the campaigns, while backing Cameron for Remain, which might prove to be more acceptable than Boris, who it’s though Remain Tory MPs will take against.

Other potentials include Liam Fox, Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove, Stephen Crabb, Nicky Morgan, Sajid Javid, Andrea Leadsom and Dominic Raab.

What's Happening With Jeremy Corbyn And The Labour Party?

After cancelling his appearance at Glastonbury, the current Labour leader is in hot (or kind of boiling) water after two thirds of his cabinet resigned in a rejection of his leadership following his part in the referendum and shadow foreign secretary Hilary Benn’s sacking. Despite rifts within his MPs, Jeremy has seen huge outpourings of support from his party supporters outside his home and at the Momentum protest.

What Are The Leavers Saying Now?

In a fairly scary position shift, the Leave campaign’s claims on everything from immigration to contributions to the EU budget are being retracted. Nigel Farage straight U-turned at the weekend about the usage of the money we’d been giving to Brussels going instead to the NHS, calling it a ‘mistake’.

Will The Petition Do Anything?

Now with nearly four million signatures on the petition for a second referendum, having past the 100,000 point, it must be considered by parliament.

On Friday David Cameron said: ‘There can be no doubt about the result […] I am clear, and the cabinet agreed this morning, that the decision must be accepted’. Referring to the petition, a spokesman said another referendum was ‘not remotely on the cards’.

What Is Article 50?

Article 50 is the procedure (as of yet not put in place) that governs a member state leaving the EU. There is a reluctance to launch the procedure before there’s more of a ‘clear view’ about terms and how relations after Brexit would look, though European leaders — including Francois Hollande and Angela Merkel — have made clear they won’t talk about it until it’s been put in place.

So Where Are We Now?

George Osbourne has said the UK would only activate Article 50 — meaning Britain's actual exit from the EU — when they have a clearer idea of what it would mean, but Brussels have ruled out the idea of any trade talks or deals before Article 50 is triggered.

Cameron is due to attend a dinner this evening to explain Britain's position, leaving the 27 member states what to do with the biggest news since it was set up 60 years ago — with focus on a collective view on terrorism and economic growth.

There's been a certain sympathy for Britain being given time to find their feet, but long-term indecision is being discouraged for the inevitable insecurity.

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Life After Brexit: What Happens Now?

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